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Hypothesis Statement

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What is Hypothesis Statement?

Hypothesis Statement is a card from the Workshop Tactics deck by Pip Decks.

Take the subjective and political conversation out of the decision-making process, and focus the team towards feedback from users and customers.

Before, collect and prioritise your assumptions with Assumption Collecting and Assumption Map. Afterwards, create a Prototype Persona to give you direction on who to test with.

When to use Hypothesis Statement

  • Uncertainty about product-market fit
  • High levels of internal debate without resolution
  • Need to prioritize features or ideas
  • Desire to shift from opinion-based to evidence-based decisions
  • Frequent project pivots without clear direction
  • Lack of user feedback in decision-making
  • Pressure to innovate quickly with limited resources

How to use Hypothesis Statement

  1. As a group, put your riskiest and most unproven assumptions into this hypothesis template:

    Because we saw **[quantitative/qualitative insight]**,_ we believe [this assumption statement is true]._

    We will know we’re **[right/wrong]** when we see the following feedback:

    **[Qualitative feedback]** and/or **[quantitative feedback]** and/or **[key performance indicator change]**.

  2. Your hypothesis may be too big to test with a single statement, so it can be helpful to use this format to break it down into smaller parts:

    We believe that **[doing this/building this feature/creating this experience]** for **[these people/personas]** will achieve **[this outcome]**.

    We will know this is true when we see **[this market feedback, quantitative measure, or qualitative insight]**.

  3. As a group, Secret Vote on the hypotheses you’d like to commit to.

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Assumption Collecting

Collect assumptions that reflect what you and your team think might be true about the project.

Assumption Map

Prioritise your assumptions based on certainty and risk.

Prototype Persona

Try to predict who is using (or will use) your product and why, so you can start testing with the right people.

Secret Vote

Democratically make decisions as a group. Eliminate all but one thing, or find the top three things.

How Might We...

Transform a problem or observation into a solvable question.

Problem Statement

A statement that captures the project’s goals, problems, and measurable success criteria.

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